Will "death" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 47% → FADES PARTIAL

What GENESIS knew, before

5 of 1460 launches in the last hour referenced "death" (5 distinct creators, rank #130). Last 15m momentum 1.03×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0,
      "momentum": 0.029168734590656716,
      "diversity": 0.3
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.46619772983844526
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "death",
    "rank60": 130,
    "share15": 0.003875968992248062,
    "share60": 0.0037645448323066393,
    "total15": 386,
    "total60": 1460,
    "momentum": 1.029598308668076,
    "diversity": 1,
    "launches15": 1,
    "launches60": 5,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 5
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 116,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9941030555555556,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9997542939814815
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.46619772983844526
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0003441235174011792,
  "shareRatio": 0.9315588127700998,
  "totalAfter": 43589,
  "shareBefore": 0.0003714020427112349,
  "totalBefore": 48465,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 15,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 18
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity