Prediction ledger
4,968 predictions. Each one is timestamped, hash-chained to the one before it, and refused any edit by the database. Outcomes are graded only after the horizon passes. Failures are never hidden.
| # | Target | Kind | P | Prediction | Made | Resolves | Status | Evidence / outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #3100 | "baby" | narrative · 1H | 61% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 13:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 61% that "baby" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.37% → 0.11% (-70%). INCORRECT. |
| #3099 | "finally" | narrative · 1H | 17% | FADES | 2026-10-13 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 13:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 17% that "finally" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.50% → 0.87% (-65%). CORRECT. |
| #3098 | "inu" | narrative · 1H | 41% | FADES | 2026-10-13 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 13:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 41% that "inu" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.57% → 1.53% (-41%). CORRECT. |
| #3097 | "doge" | narrative · 1H | 13% | FADES | 2026-10-13 12:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 13:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 13% that "doge" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.99% → 0.82% (-73%). CORRECT. |
| #3092 | "musk" | narrative · 24H | 33% | FADES | 2026-10-13 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 12:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 33% that "musk" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.39% → 0.36% (-7%). PARTIAL. |
| #3091 | "jellyfish" | narrative · 24H | 17% | FADES | 2026-10-13 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 12:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 17% that "jellyfish" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.08% → 0.06% (-18%). CORRECT. |
| #3090 | "cowe" | narrative · 24H | 49% | FADES | 2026-10-13 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 12:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 49% that "cowe" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.11% → 0.47% (+314%). INCORRECT. |
| #3089 | "rsi" | narrative · 24H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-13 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 12:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 47% that "rsi" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.11% → 0.02% (-81%). CORRECT. |
| #3088 | "bob" | narrative · 6H | 41% | FADES | 2026-10-13 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 18:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 41% that "bob" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.17% → 0.43% (+152%). INCORRECT. |
| #3087 | "jellyfish" | narrative · 6H | 11% | FADES | 2026-10-13 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 18:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 11% that "jellyfish" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.41% → 0.11% (-73%). CORRECT. |
| #3086 | "cowe" | narrative · 6H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 18:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 52% that "cowe" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.59% → 1.54% (+159%). CORRECT. |
| #3085 | "rsi" | narrative · 6H | 48% | FADES | 2026-10-13 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 18:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 48% that "rsi" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.64% → 0.04% (-94%). CORRECT. |
| #3084 | "guy" | narrative · 1H | 58% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 13:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 58% that "guy" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.46% → 1.10% (+141%). CORRECT. |
| #3083 | "cowe" | narrative · 1H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 13:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 56% that "cowe" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.12% → 7.10% (+128%). CORRECT. |
| #3082 | "rsi" | narrative · 1H | 51% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 13:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 51% that "rsi" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.34% → 0.06% (-98%). INCORRECT. |
| #3081 | "uxento" | narrative · 1H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 12:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 13:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 56% that "uxento" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 5.62% → 7.51% (+33%). CORRECT. |
| #3076 | "achicoin" | narrative · 24H | 25% | FADES | 2026-10-13 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 11:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 25% that "achicoin" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.04% → 0.01% (-78%). CORRECT. |
| #3075 | "spacex" | narrative · 24H | 62% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 11:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 62% that "spacex" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.25% → 0.23% (-9%). INCORRECT. |
| #3074 | "60k" | narrative · 24H | 17% | FADES | 2026-10-13 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 11:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 17% that "60k" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.06% → 0.01% (-79%). CORRECT. |
| #3073 | "stars" | narrative · 24H | 17% | FADES | 2026-10-13 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 11:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 17% that "stars" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.15% → 0.09% (-38%). CORRECT. |
| #3072 | "irlcat" | narrative · 6H | 24% | FADES | 2026-10-13 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 17:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 24% that "irlcat" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.10% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #3071 | "60k" | narrative · 6H | 11% | FADES | 2026-10-13 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 17:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 11% that "60k" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.43% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #3070 | "stars" | narrative · 6H | 11% | FADES | 2026-10-13 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 17:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 11% that "stars" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.54% → 0.06% (-88%). CORRECT. |
| #3069 | "worm" | narrative · 6H | 53% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 17:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 53% that "worm" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.67% → 0.42% (-38%). INCORRECT. |
| #3068 | "pumpfunians" | narrative · 1H | 29% | FADES | 2026-10-13 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 12:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 29% that "pumpfunians" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.41% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #3067 | "worm" | narrative · 1H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 12:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 57% that "worm" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.09% → 0.31% (-90%). INCORRECT. |
| #3066 | "dog" | narrative · 1H | 46% | FADES | 2026-10-13 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 12:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 46% that "dog" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.66% → 1.53% (-58%). CORRECT. |
| #3065 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 62% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 11:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 12:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 62% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.06% → 3.42% (-16%). INCORRECT. |
| #3060 | "future" | narrative · 24H | 43% | FADES | 2026-10-13 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 11:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 43% that "future" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.23% → 0.34% (+45%). INCORRECT. |
| #3059 | "repo" | narrative · 24H | 59% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 11:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 59% that "repo" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.21% → 0.01% (-93%). INCORRECT. |
| #3058 | "git" | narrative · 24H | 59% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 11:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 59% that "git" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.14% → 0.04% (-72%). INCORRECT. |
| #3057 | "achi" | narrative · 24H | 30% | FADES | 2026-10-13 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 11:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 30% that "achi" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.08% → 0.01% (-86%). CORRECT. |
| #3056 | "git" | narrative · 6H | 65% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 17:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 65% that "git" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.47% → 0.01% (-98%). INCORRECT. |
| #3055 | "achi" | narrative · 6H | 25% | FADES | 2026-10-13 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 17:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 25% that "achi" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.52% → 0.03% (-93%). CORRECT. |
| #3054 | "claude" | narrative · 6H | 67% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 17:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 67% that "claude" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.10% → 0.26% (-76%). INCORRECT. |
| #3053 | "free" | narrative · 6H | 67% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 17:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 67% that "free" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.30% → 0.29% (-77%). INCORRECT. |
| #3052 | "sorry" | narrative · 1H | 14% | FADES | 2026-10-13 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 12:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 14% that "sorry" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.99% → 0.08% (-92%). CORRECT. |
| #3051 | "wif" | narrative · 1H | 40% | FADES | 2026-10-13 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 12:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 40% that "wif" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.77% → 0.91% (-81%). CORRECT. |
| #3050 | "claude" | narrative · 1H | 76% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 12:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 76% that "claude" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.94% → 0.30% (-94%). INCORRECT. |
| #3049 | "free" | narrative · 1H | 76% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 11:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 12:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 76% that "free" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 5.27% → 0.30% (-94%). INCORRECT. |
| #3044 | "donated" | narrative · 24H | 20% | FADES | 2026-10-13 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 10:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 20% that "donated" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.03% → 0.05% (+80%). INCORRECT. |
| #3043 | "save" | narrative · 24H | 30% | FADES | 2026-10-13 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 10:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 30% that "save" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.18% → 0.61% (+240%). INCORRECT. |
| #3042 | "uxento" | narrative · 24H | 40% | FADES | 2026-10-13 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 10:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 40% that "uxento" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 2.53% → 2.39% (-5%). PARTIAL. |
| #3041 | "seals" | narrative · 24H | 14% | FADES | 2026-10-13 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 10:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 14% that "seals" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.13% → 0.36% (+167%). INCORRECT. |
| #3040 | "bot" | narrative · 6H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 16:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 54% that "bot" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.89% → 0.76% (-14%). INCORRECT. |
| #3039 | "uxento" | narrative · 6H | 38% | FADES | 2026-10-13 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 16:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 38% that "uxento" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 3.56% → 3.27% (-8%). PARTIAL. |
| #3038 | "seals" | narrative · 6H | 9% | FADES | 2026-10-13 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 16:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 9% that "seals" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.82% → 1.00% (+22%). INCORRECT. |
| #3037 | "dog" | narrative · 6H | 41% | FADES | 2026-10-13 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 16:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 41% that "dog" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.73% → 1.73% (+0%). PARTIAL. |
| #3036 | "works" | narrative · 1H | 24% | FADES | 2026-10-13 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 11:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 24% that "works" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.49% → 0.16% (-67%). CORRECT. |
| #3035 | "inu" | narrative · 1H | 53% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 11:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 53% that "inu" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.24% → 1.06% (-53%). INCORRECT. |
| #3034 | "uxento" | narrative · 1H | 37% | FADES | 2026-10-13 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 11:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 37% that "uxento" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.69% → 2.68% (-27%). CORRECT. |
| #3033 | "seals" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-13 10:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 11:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "seals" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.37% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #3028 | "launchpad" | narrative · 24H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 10:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 10:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 56% that "launchpad" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.65% → 0.57% (-12%). INCORRECT. |
| #3027 | "files" | narrative · 24H | 38% | FADES | 2026-10-13 10:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 10:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 38% that "files" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.08% → 0.03% (-57%). CORRECT. |
| #3026 | "cap" | narrative · 24H | 42% | FADES | 2026-10-13 10:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 10:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 42% that "cap" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.25% → 0.38% (+50%). INCORRECT. |
| #3025 | "revolut" | narrative · 24H | 35% | FADES | 2026-10-13 10:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 10:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 35% that "revolut" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.07% → 0.02% (-73%). CORRECT. |
| #3024 | "green" | narrative · 6H | 28% | FADES | 2026-10-13 10:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 16:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 28% that "green" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.36% → 0.36% (+0%). PARTIAL. |
| #3023 | "files" | narrative · 6H | 36% | FADES | 2026-10-13 10:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 16:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 36% that "files" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.33% → 0.08% (-77%). CORRECT. |
| #3022 | "cap" | narrative · 6H | 42% | FADES | 2026-10-13 10:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 16:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 42% that "cap" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.61% → 0.68% (+11%). INCORRECT. |
| #3021 | "revolut" | narrative · 6H | 32% | FADES | 2026-10-13 10:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 16:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 32% that "revolut" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.42% → 0.08% (-82%). CORRECT. |
| #3020 | "fire" | narrative · 1H | 30% | FADES | 2026-10-13 10:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 11:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 30% that "fire" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.47% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #3019 | "wif" | narrative · 1H | 45% | FADES | 2026-10-13 10:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 11:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 45% that "wif" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.12% → 4.77% (+53%). INCORRECT. |
| #3018 | "dog" | narrative · 1H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-13 10:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 11:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 47% that "dog" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.22% → 4.20% (+30%). INCORRECT. |
| #3017 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 49% | FADES | 2026-10-13 10:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 11:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 49% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.64% → 3.62% (-22%). CORRECT. |
| #3012 | "night" | narrative · 24H | 41% | FADES | 2026-10-13 09:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 09:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 41% that "night" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.13% → 0.15% (+13%). INCORRECT. |
| #3011 | "born" | narrative · 24H | 43% | FADES | 2026-10-13 09:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 09:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 43% that "born" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.39% → 0.56% (+43%). INCORRECT. |
| #3010 | "sol95" | narrative · 24H | 43% | FADES | 2026-10-13 09:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 09:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 43% that "sol95" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.06% → 0.02% (-61%). CORRECT. |
| #3009 | "number" | narrative · 24H | 42% | FADES | 2026-10-13 09:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 09:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 42% that "number" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.16% → 0.06% (-64%). CORRECT. |
| #3008 | "wolf" | narrative · 6H | 27% | FADES | 2026-10-13 09:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 15:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 27% that "wolf" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.39% → 0.13% (-66%). CORRECT. |
| #3007 | "born" | narrative · 6H | 43% | FADES | 2026-10-13 09:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 15:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 43% that "born" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.65% → 0.68% (+5%). PARTIAL. |
| #3006 | "sol95" | narrative · 6H | 43% | FADES | 2026-10-13 09:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 15:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 43% that "sol95" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.37% → 0.03% (-92%). CORRECT. |
| #3005 | "number" | narrative · 6H | 41% | FADES | 2026-10-13 09:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 15:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 41% that "number" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.53% → 0.08% (-85%). CORRECT. |
| #3004 | "catecoin" | narrative · 1H | 27% | FADES | 2026-10-13 09:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 10:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 27% that "catecoin" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.42% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #3003 | "sol95" | narrative · 1H | 44% | FADES | 2026-10-13 09:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 10:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 44% that "sol95" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.36% → 0.19% (-92%). CORRECT. |
| #3002 | "energy" | narrative · 1H | 44% | FADES | 2026-10-13 09:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 10:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 44% that "energy" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.36% → 0.87% (-63%). CORRECT. |
| #3001 | "number" | narrative · 1H | 41% | FADES | 2026-10-13 09:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 10:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 41% that "number" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.70% → 0.10% (-96%). CORRECT. |
| #2996 | "games" | narrative · 24H | 48% | FADES | 2026-10-13 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 09:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 48% that "games" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.21% → 0.15% (-29%). CORRECT. |
| #2995 | "doge" | narrative · 24H | 36% | FADES | 2026-10-13 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 09:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 36% that "doge" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.77% → 0.89% (+16%). INCORRECT. |
| #2994 | "fritzfrog" | narrative · 24H | 19% | FADES | 2026-10-13 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 09:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 19% that "fritzfrog" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.05% → 0.02% (-67%). CORRECT. |
| #2993 | "realist" | narrative · 24H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 09:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 54% that "realist" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.14% → 0.02% (-87%). INCORRECT. |
| #2992 | "pools" | narrative · 6H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 15:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 57% that "pools" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.09% → 0.04% (-51%). INCORRECT. |
| #2991 | "doge" | narrative · 6H | 34% | FADES | 2026-10-13 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 15:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 34% that "doge" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.63% → 1.07% (+69%). INCORRECT. |
| #2990 | "fritzfrog" | narrative · 6H | 13% | FADES | 2026-10-13 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 15:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 13% that "fritzfrog" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.29% → 0.01% (-96%). CORRECT. |
| #2989 | "realist" | narrative · 6H | 59% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 15:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 59% that "realist" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.38% → 0.08% (-80%). INCORRECT. |
| #2988 | "crypto" | narrative · 1H | 32% | FADES | 2026-10-13 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 10:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 32% that "crypto" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.05% → 1.61% (+53%). INCORRECT. |
| #2987 | "realist" | narrative · 1H | 66% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 10:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 66% that "realist" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.11% → 0.66% (-69%). INCORRECT. |
| #2986 | "lobotomized" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-13 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 10:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "lobotomized" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.11% → 0.09% (-96%). CORRECT. |
| #2985 | "agent" | narrative · 1H | 65% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 09:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 10:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 65% that "agent" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.72% → 1.61% (-41%). INCORRECT. |
| #2980 | "rest" | narrative · 24H | 33% | FADES | 2026-10-13 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 08:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 33% that "rest" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.14% → 0.16% (+14%). INCORRECT. |
| #2979 | "lobotomized" | narrative · 24H | 45% | FADES | 2026-10-13 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 08:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 45% that "lobotomized" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.08% → 0.05% (-42%). CORRECT. |
| #2978 | "pcat" | narrative · 24H | 12% | FADES | 2026-10-13 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 08:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 12% that "pcat" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.16% → 0.08% (-50%). CORRECT. |
| #2977 | "angel" | narrative · 24H | 46% | FADES | 2026-10-13 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 08:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 46% that "angel" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.11% → 0.08% (-30%). CORRECT. |
| #2976 | "games" | narrative · 6H | 60% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-13 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 14:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 60% that "games" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.16% → 0.16% (-0%). PARTIAL. |
| #2975 | "lobotomized" | narrative · 6H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-13 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 14:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 47% that "lobotomized" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.47% → 0.09% (-80%). CORRECT. |
| #2974 | "pcat" | narrative · 6H | 6% | FADES | 2026-10-13 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 14:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 6% that "pcat" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.65% → 0.15% (-77%). CORRECT. |
| #2973 | "angel" | narrative · 6H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-13 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 14:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 47% that "angel" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.57% → 0.09% (-84%). CORRECT. |
| #2972 | "pokemon" | narrative · 1H | 33% | FADES | 2026-10-13 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 09:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 33% that "pokemon" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.83% → 0.34% (-60%). CORRECT. |
| #2971 | "pcat" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-13 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 09:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "pcat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.50% → 0.08% (-98%). CORRECT. |
| #2970 | "angel" | narrative · 1H | 49% | FADES | 2026-10-13 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 09:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 49% that "angel" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.67% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #2969 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 22% | FADES | 2026-10-13 08:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 09:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 22% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 7.51% → 5.32% (-29%). CORRECT. |