Will "free" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 67% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

64 of 1208 launches in the last hour referenced "free" (39 distinct creators, rank #1). Last 15m momentum 3.42×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3824167756388357,
      "momentum": 1.2283920229333731,
      "diversity": -0.16874999999999998
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.6702776646196882
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "free",
    "rank60": 1,
    "share15": 0.1822289156626506,
    "share60": 0.05334987593052109,
    "total15": 331,
    "total60": 1208,
    "momentum": 3.4157326982347995,
    "diversity": 0.609375,
    "launches15": 60,
    "launches60": 64,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 39
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 136,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9946458333333333,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9991076388888889
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.6702776646196882
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0029441453566621803,
  "shareRatio": 0.22904019038854503,
  "totalAfter": 11888,
  "shareBefore": 0.012968902524055222,
  "totalBefore": 7171,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 35,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 93
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity