Will "dog" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 41% → FADES PARTIAL

What GENESIS knew, before

47 of 1026 launches in the last hour referenced "dog" (16 distinct creators, rank #2). Last 15m momentum 1.07×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3361064533913937,
      "momentum": 0.06423638097580989,
      "diversity": -0.49148936170212765
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.4100393838483925
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "dog",
    "rank60": 2,
    "share15": 0.04931972789115646,
    "share60": 0.046251217137293084,
    "total15": 293,
    "total60": 1026,
    "momentum": 1.0663444325098461,
    "diversity": 0.3404255319148936,
    "launches15": 14,
    "launches60": 47,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 16
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 106,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9974333333333333,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9995722222222222
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.4100393838483925
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.017319077494035523,
  "shareRatio": 0.9988179460986237,
  "totalAfter": 11317,
  "shareBefore": 0.017315417647873668,
  "totalBefore": 7219,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 196,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 125
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity