Will "lobotomized" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 45% → FADES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

38 of 1185 launches in the last hour referenced "lobotomized" (6 distinct creators, rank #6). Last 15m momentum 1.90×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3042222370938428,
      "momentum": 0.6437950607702176,
      "diversity": -0.7105263157894736
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.4548100246661101
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "lobotomized",
    "rank60": 6,
    "share15": 0.06179775280898876,
    "share60": 0.03246205733558179,
    "total15": 266,
    "total60": 1185,
    "momentum": 1.9036918138041734,
    "diversity": 0.15789473684210525,
    "launches15": 16,
    "launches60": 38,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 6
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 114,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9929836111111111,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.999707650462963
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.4548100246661101
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.000458410690137294,
  "shareRatio": 0.5870323350726743,
  "totalAfter": 43629,
  "shareBefore": 0.00079002079002079,
  "totalBefore": 48100,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 20,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 38
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity