Will "spacex" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 62% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

26 of 1231 launches in the last hour referenced "spacex" (20 distinct creators, rank #12). Last 15m momentum 3.82×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.24729879383810724,
      "momentum": 1.339636613923593,
      "diversity": 0.023076923076923127
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.6236350754118271
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "spacex",
    "rank60": 12,
    "share15": 0.08211678832116788,
    "share60": 0.02150974025974026,
    "total15": 273,
    "total60": 1231,
    "momentum": 3.8176559702520314,
    "diversity": 0.7692307692307693,
    "launches15": 22,
    "launches60": 26,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 20
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 146,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9999197222222223,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9999966550925926
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.6236350754118271
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.002284304543481737,
  "shareRatio": 0.9057848934128966,
  "totalAfter": 43777,
  "shareBefore": 0.0025237273511647972,
  "totalBefore": 46360,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 100,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 117
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity