Prediction ledger
4,328 predictions. Each one is timestamped, hash-chained to the one before it, and refused any edit by the database. Outcomes are graded only after the horizon passes. Failures are never hidden.
| # | Target | Kind | P | Prediction | Made | Resolves | Status | Evidence / outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #4192 | "elon" | narrative · 6H | 59% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 04:30 UTC | OPEN | 27 of 2227 launches in the last hour referenced "elon" (10 distinct creators, rank #19). Last 15m momentum 3.21×. |
| #4191 | "hacchan" | narrative · 6H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-14 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 04:30 UTC | OPEN | 33 of 2227 launches in the last hour referenced "hacchan" (17 distinct creators, rank #9). Last 15m momentum 0.07×. |
| #4190 | "act" | narrative · 6H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 04:30 UTC | OPEN | 33 of 2227 launches in the last hour referenced "act" (13 distinct creators, rank #8). Last 15m momentum 2.49×. |
| #4189 | "misanthropic" | narrative · 6H | 65% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 04:30 UTC | OPEN | 39 of 2227 launches in the last hour referenced "misanthropic" (15 distinct creators, rank #7). Last 15m momentum 4.17×. |
| #4188 | "apple" | narrative · 1H | 25% | FADES | 2026-10-14 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 23:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 25% that "apple" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.31% → 0.18% (-41%). CORRECT. |
| #4187 | "bird" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-14 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 23:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "bird" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.83% → 0.09% (-95%). CORRECT. |
| #4186 | "uxento" | narrative · 1H | 60% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 23:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 60% that "uxento" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.10% → 1.01% (-52%). INCORRECT. |
| #4185 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-14 22:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 23:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 47% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.57% → 3.26% (-9%). PARTIAL. |
| #4180 | "robot" | narrative · 24H | 44% | FADES | 2026-10-14 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 22:00 UTC | OPEN | 6 of 2169 launches in the last hour referenced "robot" (3 distinct creators, rank #257). Last 15m momentum 1.46×. |
| #4179 | "biggest" | narrative · 24H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 22:00 UTC | OPEN | 33 of 2169 launches in the last hour referenced "biggest" (4 distinct creators, rank #9). Last 15m momentum 3.45×. |
| #4178 | "bird" | narrative · 24H | 22% | FADES | 2026-10-14 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 22:00 UTC | OPEN | 41 of 2169 launches in the last hour referenced "bird" (23 distinct creators, rank #5). Last 15m momentum 0.14×. |
| #4177 | "hello" | narrative · 24H | 53% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 22:00 UTC | OPEN | 52 of 2169 launches in the last hour referenced "hello" (3 distinct creators, rank #3). Last 15m momentum 3.71×. |
| #4176 | "toad" | narrative · 6H | 20% | FADES | 2026-10-14 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 04:00 UTC | OPEN | 12 of 2169 launches in the last hour referenced "toad" (11 distinct creators, rank #85). Last 15m momentum 0.15×. |
| #4175 | "balls" | narrative · 6H | 9% | FADES | 2026-10-14 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 04:00 UTC | OPEN | 37 of 2169 launches in the last hour referenced "balls" (21 distinct creators, rank #8). Last 15m momentum 0.05×. |
| #4174 | "bird" | narrative · 6H | 16% | FADES | 2026-10-14 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 04:00 UTC | OPEN | 41 of 2169 launches in the last hour referenced "bird" (23 distinct creators, rank #5). Last 15m momentum 0.14×. |
| #4173 | "hello" | narrative · 6H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 04:00 UTC | OPEN | 52 of 2169 launches in the last hour referenced "hello" (3 distinct creators, rank #3). Last 15m momentum 3.71×. |
| #4172 | "rough" | narrative · 1H | 76% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 23:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 76% that "rough" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.27% → 0.09% (-68%). INCORRECT. |
| #4171 | "inu" | narrative · 1H | 62% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 23:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 62% that "inu" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.37% → 3.66% (+54%). CORRECT. |
| #4170 | "hello" | narrative · 1H | 63% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 23:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 63% that "hello" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.37% → 1.06% (-55%). INCORRECT. |
| #4169 | "dog" | narrative · 1H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 22:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 23:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 52% that "dog" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.24% → 1.46% (-55%). INCORRECT. |
| #4164 | "side" | narrative · 24H | 34% | FADES | 2026-10-14 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 21:30 UTC | OPEN | 5 of 2032 launches in the last hour referenced "side" (5 distinct creators, rank #323). Last 15m momentum 0.36×. |
| #4163 | "balls" | narrative · 24H | 32% | FADES | 2026-10-14 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 21:30 UTC | OPEN | 37 of 2032 launches in the last hour referenced "balls" (22 distinct creators, rank #8). Last 15m momentum 0.37×. |
| #4162 | "dirty" | narrative · 24H | 32% | FADES | 2026-10-14 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 21:30 UTC | OPEN | 38 of 2032 launches in the last hour referenced "dirty" (22 distinct creators, rank #7). Last 15m momentum 0.36×. |
| #4161 | "muse" | narrative · 24H | 38% | FADES | 2026-10-14 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 21:30 UTC | OPEN | 50 of 2032 launches in the last hour referenced "muse" (36 distinct creators, rank #4). Last 15m momentum 0.51×. |
| #4160 | "sons" | narrative · 6H | 63% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 03:30 UTC | OPEN | 7 of 2032 launches in the last hour referenced "sons" (4 distinct creators, rank #199). Last 15m momentum 3.97×. |
| #4159 | "dirty" | narrative · 6H | 28% | FADES | 2026-10-14 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 03:30 UTC | OPEN | 38 of 2032 launches in the last hour referenced "dirty" (22 distinct creators, rank #7). Last 15m momentum 0.36×. |
| #4158 | "alon" | narrative · 6H | 22% | FADES | 2026-10-14 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 03:30 UTC | OPEN | 45 of 2032 launches in the last hour referenced "alon" (26 distinct creators, rank #5). Last 15m momentum 0.22×. |
| #4157 | "muse" | narrative · 6H | 37% | FADES | 2026-10-14 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 03:30 UTC | OPEN | 50 of 2032 launches in the last hour referenced "muse" (36 distinct creators, rank #4). Last 15m momentum 0.51×. |
| #4156 | "attention" | narrative · 1H | 37% | FADES | 2026-10-14 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 22:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 37% that "attention" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.34% → 0.09% (-74%). CORRECT. |
| #4155 | "dirty" | narrative · 1H | 23% | FADES | 2026-10-14 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 22:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 23% that "dirty" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.85% → 0.04% (-98%). CORRECT. |
| #4154 | "alon" | narrative · 1H | 15% | FADES | 2026-10-14 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 22:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 15% that "alon" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.19% → 0.40% (-82%). CORRECT. |
| #4153 | "muse" | narrative · 1H | 34% | FADES | 2026-10-14 21:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 22:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 34% that "muse" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.43% → 0.09% (-96%). CORRECT. |
| #4148 | "call" | narrative · 24H | 51% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 21:00 UTC | OPEN | 9 of 2208 launches in the last hour referenced "call" (7 distinct creators, rank #108). Last 15m momentum 1.78×. |
| #4147 | "alon" | narrative · 24H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 21:00 UTC | OPEN | 34 of 2208 launches in the last hour referenced "alon" (18 distinct creators, rank #9). Last 15m momentum 3.22×. |
| #4146 | "guy" | narrative · 24H | 21% | FADES | 2026-10-14 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 21:00 UTC | OPEN | 53 of 2208 launches in the last hour referenced "guy" (34 distinct creators, rank #4). Last 15m momentum 0.11×. |
| #4145 | "fix6900" | narrative · 24H | 34% | FADES | 2026-10-14 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 21:00 UTC | OPEN | 127 of 2208 launches in the last hour referenced "fix6900" (3 distinct creators, rank #1). Last 15m momentum 0.72×. |
| #4144 | "breaking" | narrative · 6H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 03:00 UTC | OPEN | 5 of 2208 launches in the last hour referenced "breaking" (5 distinct creators, rank #265). Last 15m momentum 1.71×. |
| #4143 | "guy" | narrative · 6H | 15% | FADES | 2026-10-14 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 03:00 UTC | OPEN | 53 of 2208 launches in the last hour referenced "guy" (34 distinct creators, rank #4). Last 15m momentum 0.11×. |
| #4142 | "uxento" | narrative · 6H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 03:00 UTC | OPEN | 81 of 2208 launches in the last hour referenced "uxento" (30 distinct creators, rank #3). Last 15m momentum 2.29×. |
| #4141 | "fix6900" | narrative · 6H | 31% | FADES | 2026-10-14 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 03:00 UTC | OPEN | 127 of 2208 launches in the last hour referenced "fix6900" (3 distinct creators, rank #1). Last 15m momentum 0.72×. |
| #4140 | "dream" | narrative · 1H | 42% | FADES | 2026-10-14 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 22:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 42% that "dream" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.27% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #4139 | "uxento" | narrative · 1H | 62% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 22:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 62% that "uxento" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.70% → 1.87% (-49%). INCORRECT. |
| #4138 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 44% | FADES | 2026-10-14 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 22:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 44% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.97% → 3.01% (-39%). CORRECT. |
| #4137 | "fix6900" | narrative · 1H | 27% | FADES | 2026-10-14 21:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 22:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 27% that "fix6900" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 5.74% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #4132 | "inux" | narrative · 24H | 51% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 20:30 UTC | OPEN | 6 of 2306 launches in the last hour referenced "inux" (5 distinct creators, rank #228). Last 15m momentum 1.70×. |
| #4131 | "smol" | narrative · 24H | 51% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 20:30 UTC | OPEN | 40 of 2306 launches in the last hour referenced "smol" (22 distinct creators, rank #8). Last 15m momentum 1.80×. |
| #4130 | "gems" | narrative · 24H | 14% | FADES | 2026-10-14 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 20:30 UTC | OPEN | 44 of 2306 launches in the last hour referenced "gems" (19 distinct creators, rank #5). Last 15m momentum 0.05×. |
| #4129 | "dog" | narrative · 24H | 44% | FADES | 2026-10-14 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 20:30 UTC | OPEN | 47 of 2306 launches in the last hour referenced "dog" (29 distinct creators, rank #4). Last 15m momentum 0.98×. |
| #4128 | "keep" | narrative · 6H | 48% | FADES | 2026-10-14 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 02:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 48% that "keep" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.37% → 0.45% (+22%). INCORRECT. |
| #4127 | "dog" | narrative · 6H | 45% | FADES | 2026-10-14 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 02:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 45% that "dog" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.79% → 1.73% (-4%). PARTIAL. |
| #4126 | "inu" | narrative · 6H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 02:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 52% that "inu" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 2.11% → 2.55% (+21%). CORRECT. |
| #4125 | "cat" | narrative · 6H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 02:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 54% that "cat" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 4.01% → 4.04% (+1%). PARTIAL. |
| #4124 | "public" | narrative · 1H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 21:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 52% that "public" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.48% → 0.39% (-18%). INCORRECT. |
| #4123 | "gems" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-14 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 21:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "gems" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 1.91% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #4122 | "dog" | narrative · 1H | 46% | FADES | 2026-10-14 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 21:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 46% that "dog" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.04% → 2.24% (+10%). PARTIAL. |
| #4121 | "inu" | narrative · 1H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 20:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 21:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 56% that "inu" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.25% → 1.31% (-42%). INCORRECT. |
| #4116 | "fox" | narrative · 24H | 28% | FADES | 2026-10-14 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 20:00 UTC | OPEN | 8 of 2130 launches in the last hour referenced "fox" (8 distinct creators, rank #136). Last 15m momentum 0.20×. |
| #4115 | "jean" | narrative · 24H | 22% | FADES | 2026-10-14 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 20:00 UTC | OPEN | 51 of 2130 launches in the last hour referenced "jean" (4 distinct creators, rank #6). Last 15m momentum 0.23×. |
| #4114 | "nakamoto" | narrative · 24H | 20% | FADES | 2026-10-14 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 20:00 UTC | OPEN | 52 of 2130 launches in the last hour referenced "nakamoto" (30 distinct creators, rank #4). Last 15m momentum 0.10×. |
| #4113 | "satoshi" | narrative · 24H | 18% | FADES | 2026-10-14 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 20:00 UTC | OPEN | 62 of 2130 launches in the last hour referenced "satoshi" (32 distinct creators, rank #2). Last 15m momentum 0.08×. |
| #4112 | "market" | narrative · 6H | 55% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 02:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 55% that "market" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.74% → 0.70% (-5%). PARTIAL. |
| #4111 | "jean" | narrative · 6H | 16% | FADES | 2026-10-14 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 02:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 16% that "jean" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.89% → 0.15% (-83%). CORRECT. |
| #4110 | "nakamoto" | narrative · 6H | 14% | FADES | 2026-10-14 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 02:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 14% that "nakamoto" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.42% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #4109 | "satoshi" | narrative · 6H | 12% | FADES | 2026-10-14 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 02:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 12% that "satoshi" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.53% → 0.02% (-97%). CORRECT. |
| #4108 | "bro" | narrative · 1H | 76% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 21:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 76% that "bro" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.37% → 0.09% (-76%). INCORRECT. |
| #4107 | "live" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-14 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 21:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "live" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.75% → 0.54% (-80%). CORRECT. |
| #4106 | "satoshi" | narrative · 1H | 6% | FADES | 2026-10-14 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 21:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 6% that "satoshi" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.89% → 0.09% (-97%). CORRECT. |
| #4105 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 43% | FADES | 2026-10-14 20:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 21:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 43% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.59% → 4.97% (+38%). INCORRECT. |
| #4100 | "argus" | narrative · 24H | 18% | FADES | 2026-10-14 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 19:30 UTC | OPEN | 16 of 2091 launches in the last hour referenced "argus" (4 distinct creators, rank #44). Last 15m momentum 0.13×. |
| #4099 | "accelerator" | narrative · 24H | 17% | FADES | 2026-10-14 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 19:30 UTC | OPEN | 50 of 2091 launches in the last hour referenced "accelerator" (45 distinct creators, rank #11). Last 15m momentum 0.04×. |
| #4098 | "autonomous" | narrative · 24H | 25% | FADES | 2026-10-14 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 19:30 UTC | OPEN | 55 of 2091 launches in the last hour referenced "autonomous" (50 distinct creators, rank #7). Last 15m momentum 0.12×. |
| #4097 | "women" | narrative · 24H | 19% | FADES | 2026-10-14 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 19:30 UTC | OPEN | 67 of 2091 launches in the last hour referenced "women" (32 distinct creators, rank #5). Last 15m momentum 0.10×. |
| #4096 | "maximum" | narrative · 6H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-14 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 01:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 47% that "maximum" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.08% → 0.08% (+2%). PARTIAL. |
| #4095 | "women" | narrative · 6H | 13% | FADES | 2026-10-14 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 01:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 13% that "women" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.54% → 0.03% (-94%). CORRECT. |
| #4094 | "wif" | narrative · 6H | 18% | FADES | 2026-10-14 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 01:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 18% that "wif" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.80% → 0.61% (-24%). CORRECT. |
| #4093 | "finance" | narrative · 6H | 22% | FADES | 2026-10-14 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 01:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 22% that "finance" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.71% → 0.10% (-86%). CORRECT. |
| #4092 | "squeeze" | narrative · 1H | 55% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 20:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 55% that "squeeze" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.67% → 0.26% (-61%). INCORRECT. |
| #4091 | "women" | narrative · 1H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-14 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 20:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 7% that "women" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.18% → 0.09% (-97%). CORRECT. |
| #4090 | "wif" | narrative · 1H | 11% | FADES | 2026-10-14 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 20:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 11% that "wif" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.33% → 0.43% (-87%). CORRECT. |
| #4089 | "finance" | narrative · 1H | 15% | FADES | 2026-10-14 19:30 UTC | 2026-10-14 20:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 15% that "finance" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.33% → 0.17% (-95%). CORRECT. |
| #4084 | "pool" | narrative · 24H | 49% | FADES | 2026-10-14 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 19:00 UTC | OPEN | 5 of 2185 launches in the last hour referenced "pool" (5 distinct creators, rank #319). Last 15m momentum 1.21×. |
| #4083 | "wif" | narrative · 24H | 46% | FADES | 2026-10-14 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 19:00 UTC | OPEN | 65 of 2185 launches in the last hour referenced "wif" (30 distinct creators, rank #10). Last 15m momentum 1.26×. |
| #4082 | "finance" | narrative · 24H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-14 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 19:00 UTC | OPEN | 65 of 2185 launches in the last hour referenced "finance" (30 distinct creators, rank #9). Last 15m momentum 1.33×. |
| #4081 | "limitless" | narrative · 24H | 24% | FADES | 2026-10-14 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 19:00 UTC | OPEN | 72 of 2185 launches in the last hour referenced "limitless" (71 distinct creators, rank #8). Last 15m momentum 0.09×. |
| #4080 | "working" | narrative · 6H | 51% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 01:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 51% that "working" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.11% → 0.12% (+7%). PARTIAL. |
| #4079 | "limitless" | narrative · 6H | 18% | FADES | 2026-10-14 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 01:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 18% that "limitless" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.61% → 0.02% (-96%). CORRECT. |
| #4078 | "stock" | narrative · 6H | 9% | FADES | 2026-10-14 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 01:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 9% that "stock" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.73% → 0.12% (-83%). CORRECT. |
| #4077 | "agent" | narrative · 6H | 72% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-15 01:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 72% that "agent" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.26% → 0.94% (-26%). INCORRECT. |
| #4076 | "wirelyss" | narrative · 1H | 15% | FADES | 2026-10-14 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 20:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 15% that "wirelyss" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.37% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #4075 | "agent" | narrative · 1H | 81% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 20:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 81% that "agent" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.52% → 0.65% (-81%). INCORRECT. |
| #4074 | "etf" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-14 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 20:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "etf" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.80% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #4073 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 30% | FADES | 2026-10-14 19:00 UTC | 2026-10-14 20:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 30% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.80% → 3.59% (-5%). PARTIAL. |
| #4068 | "face" | narrative · 24H | 50% | FADES | 2026-10-14 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 18:30 UTC | OPEN | 8 of 2013 launches in the last hour referenced "face" (8 distinct creators, rank #133). Last 15m momentum 1.23×. |
| #4067 | "stock" | narrative · 24H | 58% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 18:30 UTC | OPEN | 65 of 2013 launches in the last hour referenced "stock" (64 distinct creators, rank #6). Last 15m momentum 1.75×. |
| #4066 | "etf" | narrative · 24H | 58% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 18:30 UTC | OPEN | 72 of 2013 launches in the last hour referenced "etf" (71 distinct creators, rank #5). Last 15m momentum 1.70×. |
| #4065 | "otf" | narrative · 24H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 18:30 UTC | OPEN | 92 of 2013 launches in the last hour referenced "otf" (84 distinct creators, rank #2). Last 15m momentum 1.69×. |
| #4064 | "reverso" | narrative · 6H | 21% | FADES | 2026-10-14 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 00:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 21% that "reverso" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.06% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #4063 | "etf" | narrative · 6H | 63% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 00:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 63% that "etf" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.62% → 0.27% (-57%). INCORRECT. |
| #4062 | "pair" | narrative · 6H | 62% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 00:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 62% that "pair" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.74% → 0.26% (-65%). INCORRECT. |
| #4061 | "otf" | narrative · 6H | 62% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-14 18:30 UTC | 2026-10-15 00:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 62% that "otf" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.78% → 0.13% (-83%). INCORRECT. |