Will "act" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 56% → ACCELERATES OPEN

What GENESIS knew, before

33 of 2227 launches in the last hour referenced "act" (13 distinct creators, rank #8). Last 15m momentum 2.49×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.28306044735485697,
      "momentum": 0.9131857854767249,
      "diversity": -0.4272727272727273
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.559290097233121
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "act",
    "rank60": 8,
    "share15": 0.03747323340471092,
    "share60": 0.015035906642728905,
    "total15": 466,
    "total60": 2227,
    "momentum": 2.4922496724088337,
    "diversity": 0.3939393939393939,
    "launches15": 17,
    "launches60": 33,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 13
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 314,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9927077777777777,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9987846296296297
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.559290097233121
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

Not yet resolved. It will be graded after 2026-10-15 04:30 UTC.

Integrity