Will "hacchan" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 10% → FADES OPEN

What GENESIS knew, before

33 of 2227 launches in the last hour referenced "hacchan" (17 distinct creators, rank #9). Last 15m momentum 0.07×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.28306044735485697,
      "momentum": -2.6421622760126886,
      "diversity": -0.2818181818181818
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.1044580035079969
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "hacchan",
    "rank60": 9,
    "share15": 0.0010706638115631692,
    "share60": 0.015035906642728905,
    "total15": 466,
    "total60": 2227,
    "momentum": 0.07120713349739526,
    "diversity": 0.5151515151515151,
    "launches15": 0,
    "launches60": 33,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 17
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 314,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9927077777777777,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9987846296296297
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.1044580035079969
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

Not yet resolved. It will be graded after 2026-10-15 04:30 UTC.

Integrity