Will "biggest" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 52% → ACCELERATES OPEN

What GENESIS knew, before

33 of 2169 launches in the last hour referenced "biggest" (4 distinct creators, rank #9). Last 15m momentum 3.45×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.28306044735485697,
      "momentum": 1.237777974602111,
      "diversity": -0.7545454545454545
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5207746537887242
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "biggest",
    "rank60": 9,
    "share15": 0.053228621291448515,
    "share60": 0.01543778801843318,
    "total15": 572,
    "total60": 2169,
    "momentum": 3.447943528431143,
    "diversity": 0.12121212121212122,
    "launches15": 30,
    "launches60": 33,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 4
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 325,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9882255555555556,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9995093981481481
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5207746537887242
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

Not yet resolved. It will be graded after 2026-10-15 22:00 UTC.

Integrity