Will "etf" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 63% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

72 of 2013 launches in the last hour referenced "etf" (71 distinct creators, rank #5). Last 15m momentum 1.70×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.40008423098729323,
      "momentum": 0.52866512111108,
      "diversity": 0.2833333333333334
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.6337777333850624
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "etf",
    "rank60": 5,
    "share15": 0.061076604554865424,
    "share60": 0.03599801390268123,
    "total15": 482,
    "total60": 2013,
    "momentum": 1.6966659527379169,
    "diversity": 0.9861111111111112,
    "launches15": 29,
    "launches60": 72,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 71
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 260,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9937741666666666,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9989623611111111
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.6337777333850624
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0026862605672750258,
  "shareRatio": 0.4378439080359823,
  "totalAfter": 12657,
  "shareBefore": 0.006183671764017715,
  "totalBefore": 11967,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 34,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 74
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity