Will "dirty" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 28% → FADES OPEN

What GENESIS knew, before

38 of 2032 launches in the last hour referenced "dirty" (22 distinct creators, rank #7). Last 15m momentum 0.36×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3042222370938428,
      "momentum": -1.0189520842095314,
      "diversity": -0.20526315789473681
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.2800940571267319
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "dirty",
    "rank60": 7,
    "share15": 0.0068359375,
    "share60": 0.01893753074274471,
    "total15": 511,
    "total60": 2032,
    "momentum": 0.3609730113636364,
    "diversity": 0.5789473684210527,
    "launches15": 3,
    "launches60": 38,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 22
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 293,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9918833333333333,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9986472222222222
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.2800940571267319
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

Not yet resolved. It will be graded after 2026-10-15 03:30 UTC.

Integrity