Prediction ledger
5,592 predictions. Each one is timestamped, hash-chained to the one before it, and refused any edit by the database. Outcomes are graded only after the horizon passes. Failures are never hidden.
| # | Target | Kind | P | Prediction | Made | Resolves | Status | Evidence / outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #2492 | "wind" | narrative · 1H | 22% | FADES | 2026-10-12 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 18:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 22% that "wind" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.17% → 0.04% (-76%). CORRECT. |
| #2491 | "grok" | narrative · 1H | 50% | FADES | 2026-10-12 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 18:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 50% that "grok" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.36% → 0.55% (-77%). INCORRECT. |
| #2490 | "bot" | narrative · 1H | 30% | FADES | 2026-10-12 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 18:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 30% that "bot" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.59% → 0.47% (-82%). CORRECT. |
| #2489 | "intelligence" | narrative · 1H | 49% | FADES | 2026-10-12 17:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 18:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 49% that "intelligence" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.93% → 0.43% (-85%). CORRECT. |
| #2488 | $READ TWEET | token · 6H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-12 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 23:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that $READ TWEET would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,033, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2487 | $READ TWEET | token · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-12 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 18:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that $READ TWEET would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,033, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2486 | $BOO | token · 6H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-12 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 23:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that $BOO would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $0, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2485 | $BOO | token · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-12 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 18:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that $BOO would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $0, still trading). CORRECT. |
| #2484 | "bird" | narrative · 24H | 48% | FADES | 2026-10-12 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 17:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 48% that "bird" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.16% → 0.08% (-52%). CORRECT. |
| #2483 | "avgo" | narrative · 24H | 22% | FADES | 2026-10-12 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 17:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 22% that "avgo" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.24% → 0.00% (-98%). CORRECT. |
| #2482 | "crying" | narrative · 24H | 38% | FADES | 2026-10-12 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 17:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 38% that "crying" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.64% → 0.16% (-75%). CORRECT. |
| #2481 | "casino" | narrative · 24H | 36% | FADES | 2026-10-12 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 17:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 36% that "casino" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 1.21% → 0.35% (-71%). CORRECT. |
| #2480 | "trump" | narrative · 6H | 48% | FADES | 2026-10-12 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 23:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 48% that "trump" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.60% → 0.63% (+5%). PARTIAL. |
| #2479 | "inu" | narrative · 6H | 43% | FADES | 2026-10-12 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 23:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 43% that "inu" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 4.15% → 1.73% (-58%). CORRECT. |
| #2478 | "crying" | narrative · 6H | 37% | FADES | 2026-10-12 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 23:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 37% that "crying" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 2.05% → 0.36% (-83%). CORRECT. |
| #2477 | "casino" | narrative · 6H | 34% | FADES | 2026-10-12 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 23:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 34% that "casino" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 3.62% → 0.73% (-80%). CORRECT. |
| #2476 | "playful" | narrative · 1H | 30% | FADES | 2026-10-12 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 18:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 30% that "playful" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.30% → 0.24% (-20%). CORRECT. |
| #2475 | "avgo" | narrative · 1H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-12 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 18:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that "avgo" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.84% → 0.04% (-99%). CORRECT. |
| #2474 | "crying" | narrative · 1H | 35% | FADES | 2026-10-12 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 18:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 35% that "crying" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 9.44% → 1.68% (-82%). CORRECT. |
| #2473 | "casino" | narrative · 1H | 30% | FADES | 2026-10-12 17:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 18:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 30% that "casino" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 16.62% → 2.40% (-86%). CORRECT. |
| #2472 | $ump | token · 6H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-12 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 22:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that $ump would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,050, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2471 | $ump | token · 1H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-12 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 17:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that $ump would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,050, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2470 | $NAPPOD | token · 6H | 11% | FADES | 2026-10-12 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 22:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 11% that $NAPPOD would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,044, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2469 | $NAPPOD | token · 1H | 11% | FADES | 2026-10-12 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 17:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 11% that $NAPPOD would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,044, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2468 | "theme" | narrative · 24H | 35% | FADES | 2026-10-12 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 16:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 35% that "theme" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.12% → 0.13% (+8%). PARTIAL. |
| #2467 | "put" | narrative · 24H | 18% | FADES | 2026-10-12 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 16:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 18% that "put" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.61% → 0.19% (-69%). CORRECT. |
| #2466 | "anime" | narrative · 24H | 17% | FADES | 2026-10-12 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 16:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 17% that "anime" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.24% → 0.10% (-57%). CORRECT. |
| #2465 | "bag" | narrative · 24H | 22% | FADES | 2026-10-12 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 16:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 22% that "bag" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.34% → 0.21% (-39%). CORRECT. |
| #2464 | "lmao" | narrative · 6H | 13% | FADES | 2026-10-12 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 22:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 13% that "lmao" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.18% → 0.08% (-57%). CORRECT. |
| #2463 | "put" | narrative · 6H | 11% | FADES | 2026-10-12 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 22:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 11% that "put" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.93% → 0.17% (-82%). CORRECT. |
| #2462 | "anime" | narrative · 6H | 11% | FADES | 2026-10-12 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 22:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 11% that "anime" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.70% → 0.12% (-83%). CORRECT. |
| #2461 | "bag" | narrative · 6H | 17% | FADES | 2026-10-12 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 22:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 17% that "bag" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.86% → 0.15% (-82%). CORRECT. |
| #2460 | "dogs" | narrative · 1H | 35% | FADES | 2026-10-12 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 17:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 35% that "dogs" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.39% → 0.10% (-75%). CORRECT. |
| #2459 | "bag" | narrative · 1H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-12 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 17:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that "bag" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.47% → 0.20% (-94%). CORRECT. |
| #2458 | "inu" | narrative · 1H | 62% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 17:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 62% that "inu" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.73% → 3.69% (-22%). INCORRECT. |
| #2457 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 42% | FADES | 2026-10-12 16:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 17:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 42% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 6.98% → 3.56% (-49%). CORRECT. |
| #2456 | $SI | token · 6H | 3% | FADES | 2026-10-12 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 22:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 3% that $SI would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,044, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2455 | $SI | token · 1H | 3% | FADES | 2026-10-12 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 17:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 3% that $SI would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,044, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2454 | $BDUCK | token · 6H | 11% | FADES | 2026-10-12 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 22:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 11% that $BDUCK would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,051, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2453 | $BDUCK | token · 1H | 11% | FADES | 2026-10-12 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 17:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 11% that $BDUCK would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,051, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2452 | "newborn" | narrative · 24H | 29% | FADES | 2026-10-12 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 16:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 29% that "newborn" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.01% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #2451 | "ticket" | narrative · 24H | 66% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 16:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 66% that "ticket" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.22% → 0.03% (-84%). INCORRECT. |
| #2450 | "hire" | narrative · 24H | 47% | FADES | 2026-10-12 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 16:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 47% that "hire" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.28% → 0.40% (+41%). INCORRECT. |
| #2449 | "project" | narrative · 24H | 66% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 16:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 66% that "project" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.51% → 0.21% (-59%). INCORRECT. |
| #2448 | "pls" | narrative · 6H | 34% | FADES | 2026-10-12 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 22:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 34% that "pls" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.10% → 0.10% (-3%). PARTIAL. |
| #2447 | "ticket" | narrative · 6H | 74% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 22:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 74% that "ticket" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.71% → 0.03% (-96%). INCORRECT. |
| #2446 | "hire" | narrative · 6H | 48% | FADES | 2026-10-12 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 22:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 48% that "hire" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.93% → 0.38% (-59%). CORRECT. |
| #2445 | "project" | narrative · 6H | 74% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 22:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 74% that "project" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.13% → 0.32% (-72%). INCORRECT. |
| #2444 | "culture" | narrative · 1H | 38% | FADES | 2026-10-12 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 17:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 38% that "culture" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.34% → 0.03% (-90%). CORRECT. |
| #2443 | "ticket" | narrative · 1H | 84% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 17:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 84% that "ticket" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.45% → 0.03% (-99%). INCORRECT. |
| #2442 | "hire" | narrative · 1H | 51% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 17:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 51% that "hire" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.12% → 1.10% (-73%). INCORRECT. |
| #2441 | "project" | narrative · 1H | 84% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 16:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 17:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 84% that "project" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 5.02% → 0.13% (-97%). INCORRECT. |
| #2440 | $Mathocalypse | token · 6H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-12 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 21:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that $Mathocalypse would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,047, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2439 | $Mathocalypse | token · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-12 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 16:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that $Mathocalypse would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,047, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2438 | $QTC | token · 6H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-12 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 21:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that $QTC would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,013, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2437 | $QTC | token · 1H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-12 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 16:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that $QTC would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,295, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2436 | "autonomous" | narrative · 24H | 35% | FADES | 2026-10-12 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 15:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 35% that "autonomous" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.35% → 0.44% (+27%). INCORRECT. |
| #2435 | "rape" | narrative · 24H | 61% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 15:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 61% that "rape" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.17% → 0.05% (-72%). INCORRECT. |
| #2434 | "robot" | narrative · 24H | 61% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 15:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 61% that "robot" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.25% → 0.28% (+10%). CORRECT. |
| #2433 | "watermelon" | narrative · 24H | 39% | FADES | 2026-10-12 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 15:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 39% that "watermelon" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.16% → 0.06% (-63%). CORRECT. |
| #2432 | "giraffe" | narrative · 6H | 67% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 21:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 67% that "giraffe" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.09% → 0.03% (-67%). INCORRECT. |
| #2431 | "rape" | narrative · 6H | 68% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 21:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 68% that "rape" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.54% → 0.09% (-82%). INCORRECT. |
| #2430 | "robot" | narrative · 6H | 68% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 21:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 68% that "robot" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.51% → 0.22% (-56%). INCORRECT. |
| #2429 | "watermelon" | narrative · 6H | 38% | FADES | 2026-10-12 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 21:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 38% that "watermelon" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.54% → 0.08% (-86%). CORRECT. |
| #2428 | "farming" | narrative · 1H | 65% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 16:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 65% that "farming" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.20% → 0.04% (-82%). INCORRECT. |
| #2427 | "robot" | narrative · 1H | 77% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 16:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 77% that "robot" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.36% → 0.29% (-88%). INCORRECT. |
| #2426 | "watermelon" | narrative · 1H | 36% | FADES | 2026-10-12 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 16:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 36% that "watermelon" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.52% → 0.14% (-94%). CORRECT. |
| #2425 | "ploy" | narrative · 1H | 23% | FADES | 2026-10-12 15:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 16:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 23% that "ploy" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.66% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #2424 | $SigmaBoy | token · 6H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-12 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 21:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 7% that $SigmaBoy would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,043, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2423 | $SigmaBoy | token · 1H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-12 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 16:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 7% that $SigmaBoy would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,043, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2422 | $кот | token · 6H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-12 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 21:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that $кот would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,078, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2421 | $кот | token · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-12 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 16:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that $кот would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,078, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2420 | "left" | narrative · 24H | 53% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 15:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 53% that "left" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.13% → 0.13% (-3%). PARTIAL. |
| #2419 | "heads" | narrative · 24H | 11% | FADES | 2026-10-12 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 15:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 11% that "heads" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.10% → 0.02% (-81%). CORRECT. |
| #2418 | "catch" | narrative · 24H | 18% | FADES | 2026-10-12 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 15:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 18% that "catch" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.14% → 0.05% (-61%). CORRECT. |
| #2417 | "bull" | narrative · 24H | 17% | FADES | 2026-10-12 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-13 15:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 17% that "bull" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.27% → 0.28% (+5%). PARTIAL. |
| #2416 | "team" | narrative · 6H | 54% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 21:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 54% that "team" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.49% → 0.33% (-33%). INCORRECT. |
| #2415 | "bull" | narrative · 6H | 11% | FADES | 2026-10-12 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 21:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 11% that "bull" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.43% → 0.14% (-67%). CORRECT. |
| #2414 | "ploy" | narrative · 6H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 21:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 57% that "ploy" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.76% → 0.27% (-65%). INCORRECT. |
| #2413 | "chat" | narrative · 6H | 67% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 21:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 67% that "chat" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.72% → 0.09% (-88%). INCORRECT. |
| #2412 | "sir" | narrative · 1H | 17% | FADES | 2026-10-12 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 16:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 17% that "sir" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.30% → 0.19% (-38%). CORRECT. |
| #2411 | "chat" | narrative · 1H | 75% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 16:00 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 75% that "chat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 3.15% → 0.04% (-99%). INCORRECT. |
| #2410 | "inu" | narrative · 1H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 16:00 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 52% that "inu" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 4.10% → 4.20% (+2%). PARTIAL. |
| #2409 | "cat" | narrative · 1H | 57% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 15:00 UTC | 2026-10-12 16:00 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 57% that "cat" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 5.16% → 7.04% (+36%). CORRECT. |
| #2408 | $Bob | token · 6H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-12 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 20:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that $Bob would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,074, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2407 | $Bob | token · 1H | 10% | FADES | 2026-10-12 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 15:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 10% that $Bob would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,074, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2406 | $ant | token · 6H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-12 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 20:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 7% that $ant would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,072, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2405 | $ant | token · 1H | 7% | FADES | 2026-10-12 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 15:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 7% that $ant would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: FADED (market cap $3,072, no recent trades). CORRECT. |
| #2404 | "edog" | narrative · 24H | 25% | FADES | 2026-10-12 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 14:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 25% that "edog" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.02% → 0.02% (-27%). CORRECT. |
| #2403 | "faster" | narrative · 24H | 11% | FADES | 2026-10-12 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 14:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 11% that "faster" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.14% → 0.01% (-92%). CORRECT. |
| #2402 | "game" | narrative · 24H | 18% | FADES | 2026-10-12 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 14:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 18% that "game" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.44% → 0.43% (-1%). PARTIAL. |
| #2401 | "run" | narrative · 24H | 22% | FADES | 2026-10-12 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-13 14:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 22% that "run" would gain share over 24H. Its share of launches moved 0.59% → 0.49% (-17%). CORRECT. |
| #2400 | "omur" | narrative · 6H | 66% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 20:30 UTC | PARTIAL | Predicted 66% that "omur" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.06% → 0.07% (+9%). PARTIAL. |
| #2399 | "game" | narrative · 6H | 12% | FADES | 2026-10-12 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 20:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 12% that "game" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.65% → 0.53% (-19%). CORRECT. |
| #2398 | "run" | narrative · 6H | 16% | FADES | 2026-10-12 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 20:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 16% that "run" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 0.72% → 0.52% (-27%). CORRECT. |
| #2397 | "finance" | narrative · 6H | 52% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 20:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 52% that "finance" would gain share over 6H. Its share of launches moved 1.29% → 0.35% (-73%). INCORRECT. |
| #2396 | "pompoko" | narrative · 1H | 8% | FADES | 2026-10-12 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 15:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 8% that "pompoko" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 0.75% → 0.00% (-100%). CORRECT. |
| #2395 | "tek" | narrative · 1H | 5% | FADES | 2026-10-12 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 15:30 UTC | CORRECT | Predicted 5% that "tek" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 2.26% → 0.04% (-98%). CORRECT. |
| #2394 | "finance" | narrative · 1H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 15:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 56% that "finance" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 5.69% → 0.08% (-99%). INCORRECT. |
| #2393 | "mascot" | narrative · 1H | 56% | ACCELERATES | 2026-10-12 14:30 UTC | 2026-10-12 15:30 UTC | INCORRECT | Predicted 56% that "mascot" would gain share over 1H. Its share of launches moved 5.98% → 0.20% (-97%). INCORRECT. |