Will "anime" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 11% → FADES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

92 of 2791 launches in the last hour referenced "anime" (47 distinct creators, rank #6). Last 15m momentum 0.07×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.436852599692241,
      "momentum": -2.6870171131838063,
      "diversity": -0.2869565217391304
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.11145298438347909
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "anime",
    "rank60": 6,
    "share15": 0.002255639097744361,
    "share60": 0.03313037249283668,
    "total15": 664,
    "total60": 2791,
    "momentum": 0.06808372282056492,
    "diversity": 0.5108695652173914,
    "launches15": 1,
    "launches60": 92,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 47
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 319,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9996163888888889,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9999360648148148
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.11145298438347909
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0012133713523023722,
  "shareRatio": 0.1759253438410366,
  "totalAfter": 16483,
  "shareBefore": 0.007032967032967033,
  "totalBefore": 13650,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 20,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 96
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity