Will "robot" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 68% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

59 of 2520 launches in the last hour referenced "robot" (31 distinct creators, rank #6). Last 15m momentum 4.17×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3702149297207429,
      "momentum": 1.428836729253105,
      "diversity": -0.26949152542372873
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.6836705884362173
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "robot",
    "rank60": 6,
    "share15": 0.09850993377483444,
    "share60": 0.02360174533915113,
    "total15": 603,
    "total60": 2520,
    "momentum": 4.173841059602649,
    "diversity": 0.5254237288135594,
    "launches15": 59,
    "launches60": 59,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 31
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 340,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9965713888888889,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9994285648148148
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.6836705884362173
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0022346368715083797,
  "shareRatio": 0.43772375823580734,
  "totalAfter": 17005,
  "shareBefore": 0.005132317562149158,
  "totalBefore": 12470,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 38,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 64
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity