Will "mascot" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 56% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

143 of 2377 launches in the last hour referenced "mascot" (10 distinct creators, rank #1). Last 15m momentum 2.37×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.503011007673871,
      "momentum": 0.8609895574118569,
      "diversity": -0.8160839160839161
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5616636509520745
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "mascot",
    "rank60": 1,
    "share15": 0.14274570982839313,
    "share60": 0.0603448275862069,
    "total15": 640,
    "total60": 2377,
    "momentum": 2.365500334299086,
    "diversity": 0.06993006993006994,
    "launches15": 91,
    "launches60": 143,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 10
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 288,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9926822222222222,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9926822222222222
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5616636509520745
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0019692792437967705,
  "shareRatio": 0.036079179126999365,
  "totalAfter": 2539,
  "shareBefore": 0.0598326359832636,
  "totalBefore": 2390,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 5,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 143
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity