Will "finance" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 52% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

136 of 2377 launches in the last hour referenced "finance" (3 distinct creators, rank #2). Last 15m momentum 2.46×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.4954825459952927,
      "momentum": 0.9000108564109233,
      "diversity": -0.8735294117647058
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5163378799541414
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "finance",
    "rank60": 2,
    "share15": 0.14118564742589704,
    "share60": 0.05740117746005046,
    "total15": 640,
    "total60": 2377,
    "momentum": 2.4596298137639794,
    "diversity": 0.022058823529411766,
    "launches15": 90,
    "launches60": 136,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 3
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 288,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9926822222222222,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9987803703703704
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5163378799541414
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0035110687931444893,
  "shareRatio": 0.2743328051590404,
  "totalAfter": 16804,
  "shareBefore": 0.012864493996569469,
  "totalBefore": 11660,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 59,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 150
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity