Will "project" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 74% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

134 of 2641 launches in the last hour referenced "project" (134 distinct creators, rank #2). Last 15m momentum 3.21×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.4932602831275216,
      "momentum": 1.1658918602396326,
      "diversity": 0.3
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.74486430127238
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "project",
    "rank60": 2,
    "share15": 0.16335403726708075,
    "share60": 0.05090840272520818,
    "total15": 804,
    "total60": 2641,
    "momentum": 3.208783393751876,
    "diversity": 1,
    "launches15": 131,
    "launches60": 134,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 134
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 318,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9937863888888889,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9989643981481482
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.74486430127238
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0032298582451103534,
  "shareRatio": 0.28653686130802836,
  "totalAfter": 16719,
  "shareBefore": 0.011338558709382848,
  "totalBefore": 13141,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 54,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 149
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity