Will "giraffe" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 67% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

9 of 2520 launches in the last hour referenced "giraffe" (7 distinct creators, rank #151). Last 15m momentum 3.73×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.08816799973531786,
      "momentum": 1.3176110941428805,
      "diversity": 0.03333333333333335
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.6698216896191197
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "giraffe",
    "rank60": 151,
    "share15": 0.014072847682119206,
    "share60": 0.003768345894486315,
    "total15": 603,
    "total60": 2520,
    "momentum": 3.7344893691181595,
    "diversity": 0.7777777777777778,
    "launches15": 8,
    "launches60": 9,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 7
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 340,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9965713888888889,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9994285648148148
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.6698216896191197
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.00029403116730373417,
  "shareRatio": 0.3507227628100568,
  "totalAfter": 17005,
  "shareBefore": 0.0008821170809943865,
  "totalBefore": 12470,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 5,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 11
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity