GENESISv0.1.0
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Prediction ledger

4,328 predictions. Each one is timestamped, hash-chained to the one before it, and refused any edit by the database. Outcomes are graded only after the horizon passes. Failures are never hidden.

AllOpenCorrectIncorrectPartialVoid
All kindsNarrativeToken
#TargetKindPPredictionMadeResolvesStatusEvidence / outcome
#3782$Claude AItoken · 6H11%FADES2026-10-14 09:30 UTC2026-10-14 15:30 UTCINCORRECTPredicted 11% that $Claude AI would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: SUSTAINED (market cap $1,928, graduated). INCORRECT.
#3781$Claude AItoken · 1H11%FADES2026-10-14 09:30 UTC2026-10-14 10:30 UTCINCORRECTPredicted 11% that $Claude AI would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: SUSTAINED (market cap $1,928, graduated). INCORRECT.
#3062$WAIFtoken · 6H7%FADES2026-10-13 11:00 UTC2026-10-13 17:00 UTCINCORRECTPredicted 7% that $WAIF would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: SUSTAINED (market cap $1,914, graduated). INCORRECT.
#3061$WAIFtoken · 1H7%FADES2026-10-13 11:00 UTC2026-10-13 12:00 UTCINCORRECTPredicted 7% that $WAIF would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: SUSTAINED (market cap $7,797,170, graduated). INCORRECT.
#2982$batoncattoken · 6H7%FADES2026-10-13 08:30 UTC2026-10-13 14:30 UTCINCORRECTPredicted 7% that $batoncat would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: SUSTAINED (market cap $2,633, graduated). INCORRECT.
#2981$batoncattoken · 1H7%FADES2026-10-13 08:30 UTC2026-10-13 09:30 UTCINCORRECTPredicted 7% that $batoncat would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: SUSTAINED (market cap $2,661, graduated). INCORRECT.
#2744$wAGENTStoken · 6H10%FADES2026-10-13 01:00 UTC2026-10-13 07:00 UTCINCORRECTPredicted 10% that $wAGENTS would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: SUSTAINED (market cap $18,457, graduated). INCORRECT.
#2743$wAGENTStoken · 1H10%FADES2026-10-13 01:00 UTC2026-10-13 02:00 UTCINCORRECTPredicted 10% that $wAGENTS would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: SUSTAINED (market cap $6,312, graduated). INCORRECT.
#2582$Miketoken · 6H7%FADES2026-10-12 20:00 UTC2026-10-13 02:00 UTCINCORRECTPredicted 7% that $Mike would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: SUSTAINED (market cap $3,238, graduated). INCORRECT.
#2581$Miketoken · 1H7%FADES2026-10-12 20:00 UTC2026-10-12 21:00 UTCINCORRECTPredicted 7% that $Mike would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: SUSTAINED (market cap $4,932, graduated). INCORRECT.
#2390$MetaMasktoken · 6H10%FADES2026-10-12 14:00 UTC2026-10-12 20:00 UTCINCORRECTPredicted 10% that $MetaMask would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: SUSTAINED (market cap $1,944, graduated). INCORRECT.
#2389$MetaMasktoken · 1H10%FADES2026-10-12 14:00 UTC2026-10-12 15:00 UTCINCORRECTPredicted 10% that $MetaMask would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: SUSTAINED (market cap $1,396,818, graduated). INCORRECT.
#2168$LDItoken · 6H3%FADES2026-10-12 07:00 UTC2026-10-12 13:00 UTCINCORRECTPredicted 3% that $LDI would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: SUSTAINED (market cap $146, graduated). INCORRECT.
#2167$LDItoken · 1H3%FADES2026-10-12 07:00 UTC2026-10-12 08:00 UTCINCORRECTPredicted 3% that $LDI would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: SUSTAINED (market cap $146, graduated). INCORRECT.
#1558$bndttoken · 6H5%FADES2026-10-11 12:00 UTC2026-10-11 18:00 UTCINCORRECTPredicted 5% that $bndt would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: SUSTAINED (market cap $61, graduated). INCORRECT.
#1557$bndttoken · 1H5%FADES2026-10-11 12:00 UTC2026-10-11 13:00 UTCINCORRECTPredicted 5% that $bndt would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: SUSTAINED (market cap $61, graduated). INCORRECT.
#712$PUMPtoken · 6H2%FADES2026-10-10 09:30 UTC2026-10-10 15:30 UTCINCORRECTPredicted 2% that $PUMP would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: SUSTAINED (market cap $70, graduated). INCORRECT.
#711$PUMPtoken · 1H2%FADES2026-10-10 09:30 UTC2026-10-10 10:30 UTCINCORRECTPredicted 2% that $PUMP would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: SUSTAINED (market cap $70, graduated). INCORRECT.
#504$GTA6token · 6H7%FADES2026-10-10 03:00 UTC2026-10-10 09:00 UTCINCORRECTPredicted 7% that $GTA6 would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: SUSTAINED (market cap $306, graduated). INCORRECT.
#503$GTA6token · 1H7%FADES2026-10-10 03:00 UTC2026-10-10 04:00 UTCINCORRECTPredicted 7% that $GTA6 would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: SUSTAINED (market cap $8,184, graduated). INCORRECT.
#238$Simpsonstoken · 6H11%FADES2026-10-09 16:30 UTC2026-10-09 22:30 UTCINCORRECTPredicted 11% that $Simpsons would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: SUSTAINED (market cap $1,966, graduated). INCORRECT.
#237$Simpsonstoken · 1H11%FADES2026-10-09 16:30 UTC2026-10-09 17:30 UTCINCORRECTPredicted 11% that $Simpsons would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: SUSTAINED (market cap $1,991, graduated). INCORRECT.
#108$kimchitoken · 6H6%FADES2026-10-09 11:00 UTC2026-10-09 17:00 UTCINCORRECTPredicted 6% that $kimchi would sustain attention for 6H. Outcome: SUSTAINED (market cap $655, graduated). INCORRECT.
#107$kimchitoken · 1H6%FADES2026-10-09 11:00 UTC2026-10-09 12:00 UTCINCORRECTPredicted 6% that $kimchi would sustain attention for 1H. Outcome: SUSTAINED (market cap $667, graduated). INCORRECT.