Will "penis" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 51% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

7 of 2864 launches in the last hour referenced "penis" (7 distinct creators, rank #183). Last 15m momentum 1.37×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.050470835493181924,
      "momentum": 0.3122195681224634,
      "diversity": 0.3
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5078356589037344
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "penis",
    "rank60": 183,
    "share15": 0.003577106518282989,
    "share60": 0.002617801047120419,
    "total15": 1257,
    "total60": 2864,
    "momentum": 1.3664546899841017,
    "diversity": 1,
    "launches15": 4,
    "launches60": 7,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 7
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 293,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9965619444444445,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9998567476851852
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5078356589037344
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.00047879616963064295,
  "shareRatio": 0.6444297515636518,
  "totalAfter": 43860,
  "shareBefore": 0.0007505223229680115,
  "totalBefore": 49299,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 21,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 37
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity