Will "dead" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 17% → FADES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

32 of 2864 launches in the last hour referenced "dead" (8 distinct creators, rank #18). Last 15m momentum 0.11×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.27844469855484394,
      "momentum": -2.252729789339073,
      "diversity": -0.6
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.1697863006586777
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "dead",
    "rank60": 18,
    "share15": 0.0011923688394276629,
    "share60": 0.011343804537521814,
    "total15": 1257,
    "total60": 2864,
    "momentum": 0.1051118992295463,
    "diversity": 0.25,
    "launches15": 1,
    "launches60": 32,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 8
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 293,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9965619444444445,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9998567476851852
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.1697863006586777
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0010715914272685818,
  "shareRatio": 0.5208805422451526,
  "totalAfter": 43860,
  "shareBefore": 0.0020690074849388424,
  "totalBefore": 49299,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 47,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 102
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity