Will "pair" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 73% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

725 of 2864 launches in the last hour referenced "pair" (721 distinct creators, rank #1). Last 15m momentum 2.26×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.7465100613630861,
      "momentum": 0.8161295350037885,
      "diversity": 0.2933793103448276
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.7309038630654217
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "pair",
    "rank60": 1,
    "share15": 0.5727344992050875,
    "share60": 0.2532286212914485,
    "total15": 1257,
    "total60": 2864,
    "momentum": 2.2617289320779816,
    "diversity": 0.9944827586206897,
    "launches15": 720,
    "launches60": 725,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 721
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 293,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9965619444444445,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9994269907407407
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.7309038630654217
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0019520732364028002,
  "shareRatio": 0.03495587679807291,
  "totalAfter": 14856,
  "shareBefore": 0.05676986199179411,
  "totalBefore": 13405,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 29,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 761
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity