Will "quantum" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 40% → FADES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

78 of 2864 launches in the last hour referenced "quantum" (52 distinct creators, rank #7). Last 15m momentum 0.65×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.41209063713832367,
      "momentum": -0.4265381236895342,
      "diversity": -0.10000000000000005
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.3978461782992327
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "quantum",
    "rank60": 7,
    "share15": 0.017885532591414944,
    "share60": 0.027399650959860383,
    "total15": 1257,
    "total60": 2864,
    "momentum": 0.6527649792917684,
    "diversity": 0.6666666666666666,
    "launches15": 22,
    "launches60": 78,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 52
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 293,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9965619444444445,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9965619444444445
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.3978461782992327
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.03427495291902072,
  "shareRatio": 1.2467109002045917,
  "totalAfter": 2655,
  "shareBefore": 0.027468706536856746,
  "totalBefore": 2876,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 91,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 79
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity