Will "money" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 43% → FADES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

80 of 2262 launches in the last hour referenced "money" (9 distinct creators, rank #2). Last 15m momentum 1.46×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.4158883083359672,
      "momentum": 0.37892346848282477,
      "diversity": -0.7649999999999999
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.43286088710163956
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "money",
    "rank60": 2,
    "share15": 0.05196078431372549,
    "share60": 0.035572249226690236,
    "total15": 509,
    "total60": 2262,
    "momentum": 1.4607112410181464,
    "diversity": 0.1125,
    "launches15": 26,
    "launches60": 80,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 9
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 346,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9985283333333334,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9985283333333334
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.43286088710163956
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.04089456869009585,
  "shareRatio": 1.1578207109430638,
  "totalAfter": 3130,
  "shareBefore": 0.03524229074889868,
  "totalBefore": 2270,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 128,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 80
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity