Will "money" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 44% → FADES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

55 of 2252 launches in the last hour referenced "money" (8 distinct creators, rank #7). Last 15m momentum 1.52×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.35968429091975557,
      "momentum": 0.4196110034022369,
      "diversity": -0.7254545454545454
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.43876906295609003
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "money",
    "rank60": 7,
    "share15": 0.037477148080438755,
    "share60": 0.02463382157123835,
    "total15": 546,
    "total60": 2252,
    "momentum": 1.5213696328870003,
    "diversity": 0.14545454545454545,
    "launches15": 20,
    "launches60": 55,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 8
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 312,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9960405555555556,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9960405555555556
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.43876906295609003
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.03524229074889868,
  "shareRatio": 1.4466183488640556,
  "totalAfter": 2270,
  "shareBefore": 0.02429328621908127,
  "totalBefore": 2264,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 80,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 55
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity