Will "privacy" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 42% → FADES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

10 of 2605 launches in the last hour referenced "privacy" (10 distinct creators, rank #150). Last 15m momentum 0.63×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.1039720770839918,
      "momentum": -0.4553632111986194,
      "diversity": 0.3
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.41928832509761665
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "privacy",
    "rank60": 150,
    "share15": 0.002555366269165247,
    "share60": 0.004029163468917882,
    "total15": 586,
    "total60": 2605,
    "momentum": 0.6342175711852032,
    "diversity": 1,
    "launches15": 1,
    "launches60": 10,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 10
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 336,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9935116666666667,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9997296527777778
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.41928832509761665
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.001093603535240816,
  "shareRatio": 0.6841177528275358,
  "totalAfter": 44806,
  "shareBefore": 0.0016047125736339631,
  "totalBefore": 49230,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 49,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 79
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity