Will "without" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 69% → ACCELERATES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

5 of 2605 launches in the last hour referenced "without" (4 distinct creators, rank #391). Last 15m momentum 2.83×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0,
      "momentum": 1.0385618141136368,
      "diversity": 0.06000000000000005
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.6896667551977087
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "without",
    "rank60": 391,
    "share15": 0.00596252129471891,
    "share60": 0.002110514198004605,
    "total15": 586,
    "total60": 2605,
    "momentum": 2.8251509989159054,
    "diversity": 0.8,
    "launches15": 3,
    "launches60": 5,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 4
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 336,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9935116666666667,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9935116666666667
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.6896667551977087
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.002208480565371025,
  "shareRatio": 1.1620309050772628,
  "totalAfter": 2264,
  "shareBefore": 0.0019004180919802356,
  "totalBefore": 2631,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 5,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 5
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity