Will "inu" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 36% → FADES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

169 of 2605 launches in the last hour referenced "inu" (90 distinct creators, rank #4). Last 15m momentum 0.59×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.528069120373346,
      "momentum": -0.5287906797534365,
      "diversity": -0.2609467455621301
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.3631615340893346
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "inu",
    "rank60": 4,
    "share15": 0.03833049403747871,
    "share60": 0.0650422102839601,
    "total15": 586,
    "total60": 2605,
    "momentum": 0.589317212163242,
    "diversity": 0.5325443786982249,
    "launches15": 22,
    "launches60": 169,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 90
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 336,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9935116666666667,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9935116666666667
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.3631615340893346
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.037544169611307424,
  "shareRatio": 0.5861571822071149,
  "totalAfter": 2264,
  "shareBefore": 0.06423413150893197,
  "totalBefore": 2631,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 85,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 169
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity