Will "readreadread" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 53% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

9 of 2341 launches in the last hour referenced "readreadread" (3 distinct creators, rank #159). Last 15m momentum 3.55×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.08816799973531786,
      "momentum": 1.2665207091371915,
      "diversity": -0.5
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5317931355442137
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "readreadread",
    "rank60": 159,
    "share15": 0.014393939393939395,
    "share60": 0.0040563620836891546,
    "total15": 659,
    "total60": 2341,
    "momentum": 3.548484848484849,
    "diversity": 0.3333333333333333,
    "launches15": 9,
    "launches60": 9,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 3
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 334,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9957577777777777,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9998232407407407
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5317931355442137
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0,
  "shareRatio": 0.022200995284091963,
  "totalAfter": 45122,
  "shareBefore": 0.0004889377826671556,
  "totalBefore": 49086,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 0,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 24
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity