Will "claim" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 16% → FADES PARTIAL

What GENESIS knew, before

59 of 2341 launches in the last hour referenced "claim" (10 distinct creators, rank #15). Last 15m momentum 0.09×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3702149297207429,
      "momentum": -2.413990495306228,
      "diversity": -0.6966101694915254
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.15839846628953416
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "claim",
    "rank60": 15,
    "share15": 0.0022727272727272726,
    "share60": 0.025405636208368915,
    "total15": 659,
    "total60": 2341,
    "momentum": 0.0894576012223071,
    "diversity": 0.1694915254237288,
    "launches15": 1,
    "launches60": 59,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 10
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 334,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9957577777777777,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9998232407407407
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.15839846628953416
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0032356721776517,
  "shareRatio": 1.0054879788445057,
  "totalAfter": 45122,
  "shareBefore": 0.0032188404025587742,
  "totalBefore": 49086,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 146,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 158
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity