Will "altai" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 56% → ACCELERATES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

97 of 1955 launches in the last hour referenced "altai" (58 distinct creators, rank #2). Last 15m momentum 1.64×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.44479095991039236,
      "momentum": 0.49718434182922033,
      "diversity": -0.18247422680412373
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.557655094095982
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "altai",
    "rank60": 2,
    "share15": 0.08195211786372007,
    "share60": 0.04984662576687116,
    "total15": 542,
    "total60": 1955,
    "momentum": 1.6440855645275536,
    "diversity": 0.5979381443298969,
    "launches15": 44,
    "launches60": 97,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 58
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 292,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9984991666666667,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9997498611111111
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.557655094095982
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.020949452239092833,
  "shareRatio": 2.124212645154577,
  "totalAfter": 15609,
  "shareBefore": 0.009827517047733655,
  "totalBefore": 9972,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 327,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 98
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity