Will "utility" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 33% → FADES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

8 of 1559 launches in the last hour referenced "utility" (4 distinct creators, rank #114). Last 15m momentum 0.69×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.07050054438686033,
      "momentum": -0.366096235831714,
      "diversity": -0.3
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.3280722450032925
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "utility",
    "rank60": 114,
    "share15": 0.003778337531486146,
    "share60": 0.0054487179487179484,
    "total15": 396,
    "total60": 1559,
    "momentum": 0.6934360646021633,
    "diversity": 0.5,
    "launches15": 1,
    "launches60": 8,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 4
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 223,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9982697222222222,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9997116203703704
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.3280722450032925
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.006521739130434782,
  "shareRatio": 0.9029109682094013,
  "totalAfter": 11040,
  "shareBefore": 0.007215175142557896,
  "totalBefore": 8593,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 72,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 62
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity