Will "dog" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 56% → ACCELERATES PARTIAL

What GENESIS knew, before

34 of 1315 launches in the last hour referenced "dog" (28 distinct creators, rank #5). Last 15m momentum 2.05×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.28753839182730917,
      "momentum": 0.7156191029008677,
      "diversity": 0.08823529411764701
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5611169549933267
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "dog",
    "rank60": 5,
    "share15": 0.0536231884057971,
    "share60": 0.02621580547112462,
    "total15": 344,
    "total60": 1315,
    "momentum": 2.04545263600084,
    "diversity": 0.8235294117647058,
    "launches15": 18,
    "launches60": 34,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 28
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 202,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9932422222222222,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.999718425925926
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5611169549933267
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.014428815004262574,
  "shareRatio": 0.9274626580325295,
  "totalAfter": 46920,
  "shareBefore": 0.015558554138043834,
  "totalBefore": 48912,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 677,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 761
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity