Will "quantum" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 22% → FADES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

72 of 1334 launches in the last hour referenced "quantum" (44 distinct creators, rank #6). Last 15m momentum 0.31×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.40008423098729323,
      "momentum": -1.184941415129706,
      "diversity": -0.1666666666666666
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.22243646442582665
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "quantum",
    "rank60": 6,
    "share15": 0.016605166051660517,
    "share60": 0.054307116104868915,
    "total15": 270,
    "total60": 1334,
    "momentum": 0.3057640921236799,
    "diversity": 0.6111111111111112,
    "launches15": 4,
    "launches60": 72,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 44
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 161,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9926969444444445,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9926969444444445
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.22243646442582665
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.04041204437400951,
  "shareRatio": 0.7559013842247522,
  "totalAfter": 1262,
  "shareBefore": 0.05361131794489948,
  "totalBefore": 1343,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 51,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 72
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity