Will "robomusk" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 58% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

40 of 1212 launches in the last hour referenced "robomusk" (21 distinct creators, rank #4). Last 15m momentum 2.34×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3119162312519754,
      "momentum": 0.8501047639059852,
      "diversity": -0.26999999999999996
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5803997691578835
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "robomusk",
    "rank60": 4,
    "share15": 0.078125,
    "share60": 0.03338829348722176,
    "total15": 287,
    "total60": 1212,
    "momentum": 2.339891975308642,
    "diversity": 0.525,
    "launches15": 22,
    "launches60": 40,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 21
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 199,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9952283333333334,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9992047222222222
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5803997691578835
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0,
  "shareRatio": 0.01352952952952953,
  "totalAfter": 9249,
  "shareBefore": 0.003946329913180742,
  "totalBefore": 10136,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 0,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 40
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity