Will "musk" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 49% → FADES PARTIAL

What GENESIS knew, before

78 of 1212 launches in the last hour referenced "musk" (52 distinct creators, rank #1). Last 15m momentum 0.94×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.41209063713832367,
      "momentum": -0.06300631505079024,
      "diversity": -0.10000000000000005
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.4872738296867323
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "musk",
    "rank60": 1,
    "share15": 0.06076388888888889,
    "share60": 0.06471558120362737,
    "total15": 287,
    "total60": 1212,
    "momentum": 0.9389375442321302,
    "diversity": 0.6666666666666666,
    "launches15": 17,
    "launches60": 78,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 52
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 199,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9952283333333334,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9952283333333334
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.4872738296867323
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.07033144704931285,
  "shareRatio": 1.0957420536513587,
  "totalAfter": 1237,
  "shareBefore": 0.06414473684210527,
  "totalBefore": 1216,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 87,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 78
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity