Will "investment" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 66% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

18 of 1219 launches in the last hour referenced "investment" (15 distinct creators, rank #11). Last 15m momentum 3.00×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.19214007681930967,
      "momentum": 1.0977929522847072,
      "diversity": 0.10000000000000005
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.6621640965522041
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "investment",
    "rank60": 11,
    "share15": 0.045454545454545456,
    "share60": 0.015163934426229509,
    "total15": 384,
    "total60": 1219,
    "momentum": 2.9975429975429977,
    "diversity": 0.8333333333333334,
    "launches15": 17,
    "launches60": 18,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 15
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 168,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.99882,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9998033333333334
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.6621640965522041
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0011176930814798256,
  "shareRatio": 0.4327034542327421,
  "totalAfter": 8947,
  "shareBefore": 0.0026661763353865954,
  "totalBefore": 10877,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 10,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 29
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity