Will "spacing" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 16% → FADES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

46 of 1795 launches in the last hour referenced "spacing" (32 distinct creators, rank #8). Last 15m momentum 0.05×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3328805226082492,
      "momentum": -3.052997400333913,
      "diversity": -0.06521739130434785
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.1554254079265678
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "spacing",
    "rank60": 8,
    "share15": 0.0012224938875305623,
    "share60": 0.02589086859688196,
    "total15": 408,
    "total60": 1795,
    "momentum": 0.04721718326892236,
    "diversity": 0.6956521739130435,
    "launches15": 0,
    "launches60": 46,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 32
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 254,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9968686111111111,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9998695254629629
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.1554254079265678
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.000021407317020957764,
  "shareRatio": 0.03320338994508577,
  "totalAfter": 46713,
  "shareBefore": 0.0009569183158237641,
  "totalBefore": 49116,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 1,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 47
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity