Will "underpants" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 63% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

65 of 2220 launches in the last hour referenced "underpants" (36 distinct creators, rank #8). Last 15m momentum 4.38×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3847424036192305,
      "momentum": 1.4772018203032442,
      "diversity": -0.23538461538461533
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.6255750218658318
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "underpants",
    "rank60": 8,
    "share15": 0.1291913214990138,
    "share60": 0.029491220171094103,
    "total15": 506,
    "total60": 2220,
    "momentum": 4.380670611439842,
    "diversity": 0.5538461538461539,
    "launches15": 65,
    "launches60": 65,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 36
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 249,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9954858333333333,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.988149837962963
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.6255750218658318
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0009535110395389244,
  "shareRatio": 0.6426791265877814,
  "totalAfter": 47194,
  "shareBefore": 0.0014897887396801092,
  "totalBefore": 48329,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 45,
  "coverageBefore": 0.9883379282407407,
  "launchesBefore": 72
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity