Will "atlas" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 31% → FADES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

5 of 2308 launches in the last hour referenced "atlas" (4 distinct creators, rank #296). Last 15m momentum 0.35×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0,
      "momentum": -1.0469162173945068,
      "diversity": 0.06000000000000005
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.3114266291479744
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "atlas",
    "rank60": 296,
    "share15": 0.0008361204013377926,
    "share60": 0.0023819835426591596,
    "total15": 597,
    "total60": 2308,
    "momentum": 0.3510185466707206,
    "diversity": 0.8,
    "launches15": 0,
    "launches60": 5,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 4
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 317,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9990972222222222,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9674712847222222
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.3114266291479744
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0006951905454085825,
  "shareRatio": 1.8060806540688572,
  "totalAfter": 47469,
  "shareBefore": 0.00038018798183546307,
  "totalBefore": 47345,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 33,
  "coverageBefore": 0.967508900462963,
  "launchesBefore": 18
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity