Will "greyson" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 71% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

38 of 1674 launches in the last hour referenced "greyson" (7 distinct creators, rank #11). Last 15m momentum 4.77×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3042222370938428,
      "momentum": 1.562782220793301,
      "diversity": -0.6789473684210526
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.7084890613694591
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "greyson",
    "rank60": 11,
    "share15": 0.10968660968660969,
    "share60": 0.02298507462686567,
    "total15": 350,
    "total60": 1674,
    "momentum": 4.772079772079772,
    "diversity": 0.18421052631578946,
    "launches15": 38,
    "launches60": 38,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 7
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 145,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9921572222222222,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9921572222222222
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.7084890613694591
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.002145922746781116,
  "shareRatio": 0.10936383130807721,
  "totalAfter": 1398,
  "shareBefore": 0.022592152199762187,
  "totalBefore": 1682,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 3,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 38
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity