Will "pls" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 34% → FADES OPEN

What GENESIS knew, before

41 of 1761 launches in the last hour referenced "pls" (7 distinct creators, rank #8). Last 15m momentum 0.87×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3156201231405311,
      "momentum": -0.14210771750552023,
      "diversity": -0.6951219512195121
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.3395889156090908
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "pls",
    "rank60": 8,
    "share15": 0.020432692307692308,
    "share60": 0.0235527809307605,
    "total15": 415,
    "total60": 1761,
    "momentum": 0.8675278035217795,
    "diversity": 0.17073170731707318,
    "launches15": 8,
    "launches60": 41,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 7
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 214,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9968716666666667,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9994786111111111
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.3395889156090908
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

Not yet resolved. It will be graded after 2026-10-15 06:30 UTC.

Integrity