GENESISv0.1.0
development instance · real Pump.fun observations · no token · no real rewards
Ledger / Prediction #4248 · token · 6H

Will $AI still have sustained attention 6H from now (still trading and at least 2× its launch market cap, or graduated)?

GENESIS said 6% → FADES OPEN

What GENESIS knew, before

Launched 28m ago. X link, website. Rides hot term "inu". Creator launched 141 tokens in the last hour.

Made2026-10-15 00:00 UTC
Resolves2026-10-15 06:00 UTC
Evidence cutoff2026-10-15 00:00 UTC
Data sourcespumpfun.launch_feed
GENESIS version0.1.0
Enginetoken-heuristic-v0
Scoring methodtoken-sustained-v1
Active capabilities6
Evidence (exact record)
{
  "model": {
    "version": "token-heuristic-v0",
    "contributions": {
      "hotTerm": 0.3,
      "twitter": 0.4,
      "website": 0.3,
      "telegram": 0,
      "description": 0,
      "serialCreator": -0.8
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.0604014851376858
  },
  "features": {
    "mint": "7eRpF2hs1eyyVE2YomEb7Xx4ZoJosuR22wKG4b7vWzcb",
    "name": "Alien Inu",
    "symbol": "AI",
    "hotTerms": [
      "inu"
    ],
    "ageMinutes": 28,
    "hasTwitter": true,
    "hasWebsite": true,
    "hasTelegram": false,
    "descriptionLength": 1,
    "marketCapAtObservation": 3075.88257643926,
    "creatorLaunchesInContext": 141
  },
  "selection": "uniform-random among launches aged 10-30 min",
  "candidates": 617,
  "calibration": null
}
Expected
{
  "direction": "fades",
  "probabilitySustained": 0.0604014851376858
}
Engine token-heuristic-v0

P(a token launched 10-30 minutes ago still has sustained attention at the horizon). Uses only what GENESIS saw at launch: social links, description, creator behaviour, whether it rides a hot term. Hand-set weights around a ~5% prior.

What happened, after

Not yet resolved. It will be graded after 2026-10-15 06:00 UTC.

Integrity

Hash6964ad56690337766e92ff25c6db3417b19cb72f2c8d68fb92f308cdda45fa87
Previous hash9dee648cbd4a1fb4a6b3d1fedcd8d60f5b0c303ecb7c897e814dfbda1c15673e