Will "pept" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 12% → FADES OPEN

What GENESIS knew, before

149 of 2264 launches in the last hour referenced "pept" (45 distinct creators, rank #1). Last 15m momentum 0.04×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.5091762590267038,
      "momentum": -3.3222210661910205,
      "diversity": -0.5375838926174497
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.12181921784154968
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "pept",
    "rank60": 1,
    "share15": 0.002380952380952381,
    "share60": 0.06600441501103753,
    "total15": 629,
    "total60": 2264,
    "momentum": 0.03607262302914477,
    "diversity": 0.30201342281879195,
    "launches15": 1,
    "launches60": 149,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 45
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 281,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9979897222222223,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9999162384259259
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.12181921784154968
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

Not yet resolved. It will be graded after 2026-10-15 23:00 UTC.

Integrity