GENESISv0.1.0
development instance · real Pump.fun observations · no token · no real rewards
Ledger / Prediction #4150 · token · 6H

Will $SLABS still have sustained attention 6H from now (still trading and at least 2× its launch market cap, or graduated)?

GENESIS said 11% → FADES OPEN

What GENESIS knew, before

Launched 11m ago. X link, website. No hot term.

Made2026-10-14 21:00 UTC
Resolves2026-10-15 03:00 UTC
Evidence cutoff2026-10-14 20:59 UTC
Data sourcespumpfun.launch_feed
GENESIS version0.1.0
Enginetoken-heuristic-v0
Scoring methodtoken-sustained-v1
Active capabilities6
Evidence (exact record)
{
  "model": {
    "version": "token-heuristic-v0",
    "contributions": {
      "hotTerm": 0,
      "twitter": 0.4,
      "website": 0.3,
      "telegram": 0,
      "description": 0.2,
      "serialCreator": 0
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.11461549863791237
  },
  "features": {
    "mint": "CuTqgSnRPoNYPQoMFoGtaxkqV8QXSndsEXgwsZpopump",
    "name": "Slabs ",
    "symbol": "SLABS",
    "hotTerms": [],
    "ageMinutes": 11,
    "hasTwitter": true,
    "hasWebsite": true,
    "hasTelegram": false,
    "descriptionLength": 134,
    "marketCapAtObservation": 3139.4086548741116,
    "creatorLaunchesInContext": 1
  },
  "selection": "uniform-random among launches aged 10-30 min",
  "candidates": 700,
  "calibration": null
}
Expected
{
  "direction": "fades",
  "probabilitySustained": 0.11461549863791237
}
Engine token-heuristic-v0

P(a token launched 10-30 minutes ago still has sustained attention at the horizon). Uses only what GENESIS saw at launch: social links, description, creator behaviour, whether it rides a hot term. Hand-set weights around a ~5% prior.

What happened, after

Not yet resolved. It will be graded after 2026-10-15 03:00 UTC.

Integrity

Hash28bc0dfed0aa7dcb6acde8f1f871eedd8ece52155c5d412d3d57877c68ba2ce3
Previous hash0f55918cdf06a52602e270a3f2c111a44f5179f087653e3d74983eda55c3e614