Will "worth" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 26% → FADES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

94 of 2351 launches in the last hour referenced "worth" (50 distinct creators, rank #1). Last 15m momentum 0.39×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.4400785304753855,
      "momentum": -0.9296465230557108,
      "diversity": -0.26170212765957446
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.25898127746676797
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "worth",
    "rank60": 1,
    "share15": 0.01585820895522388,
    "share60": 0.04017857142857143,
    "total15": 535,
    "total60": 2351,
    "momentum": 0.3946932006633499,
    "diversity": 0.5319148936170213,
    "launches15": 8,
    "launches60": 94,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 50
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 349,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9999291666666666,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9999291666666666
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.25898127746676797
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0009876543209876543,
  "shareRatio": 0.030711856970494677,
  "totalAfter": 2025,
  "shareBefore": 0.03998298596341982,
  "totalBefore": 2351,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 2,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 94
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity