Will "master" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 22% → FADES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

91 of 2313 launches in the last hour referenced "master" (61 distinct creators, rank #4). Last 15m momentum 0.28×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.43521323911241244,
      "momentum": -1.2884918819189328,
      "diversity": -0.09560439560439567
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.22289355010907158
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "master",
    "rank60": 4,
    "share15": 0.010901162790697675,
    "share60": 0.0395419187554019,
    "total15": 687,
    "total60": 2313,
    "momentum": 0.27568623713305374,
    "diversity": 0.6703296703296703,
    "launches15": 7,
    "launches60": 91,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 61
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 256,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.999925,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.999925
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.22289355010907158
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.003374103753690426,
  "shareRatio": 0.09066384688395582,
  "totalAfter": 2371,
  "shareBefore": 0.03932584269662921,
  "totalBefore": 2314,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 8,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 91
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity