Will "crime" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 62% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

43 of 1608 launches in the last hour referenced "crime" (34 distinct creators, rank #6). Last 15m momentum 1.52×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3227643304889193,
      "momentum": 0.4160240765985885,
      "diversity": 0.04883720930232553
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.6195469289465052
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "crime",
    "rank60": 6,
    "share15": 0.040983606557377046,
    "share60": 0.027035425730267248,
    "total15": 426,
    "total60": 1608,
    "momentum": 1.5159223666855095,
    "diversity": 0.7906976744186046,
    "launches15": 17,
    "launches60": 43,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 34
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 239,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9974277777777778,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9974277777777778
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.6195469289465052
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.005185825410544511,
  "shareRatio": 0.20059084928378143,
  "totalAfter": 2314,
  "shareBefore": 0.026625386996904025,
  "totalBefore": 1615,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 12,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 43
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity