Will "usdc" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 34% → FADES OPEN

What GENESIS knew, before

35 of 1714 launches in the last hour referenced "usdc" (18 distinct creators, rank #9). Last 15m momentum 0.47×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.291886522358297,
      "momentum": -0.758171492331311,
      "diversity": -0.2828571428571429
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.33747406163133503
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "usdc",
    "rank60": 9,
    "share15": 0.009698275862068966,
    "share60": 0.020699708454810496,
    "total15": 463,
    "total60": 1714,
    "momentum": 0.46852234094220496,
    "diversity": 0.5142857142857142,
    "launches15": 4,
    "launches60": 35,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 18
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 219,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9954919444444444,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9998121643518518
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.33747406163133503
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

Not yet resolved. It will be graded after 2026-10-15 14:00 UTC.

Integrity